Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Centurion 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday


	Alexander Donski		Naoya Honda

	1	2
	2.07	1.67
	2.14	1.74
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.57)	1.69 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Donski
44.7%

Naoya Honda
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Donski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Donski's form might have worsened.

Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoya Honda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Donski than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Donski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoya Honda than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoya Honda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alexander Donski - Naoya Honda Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Donski will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Honda will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Donski is ranked ATP: 687. Honda is ranked ATP: 872.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Donski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Donski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Donski
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Alexander Donski - Dillon Beckles	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Alexander Donski - Stefan Vujic	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Alexander Donski - Jeffrey Strydom	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL
- Naoya Honda
ATP Challenger
31.05.26	Andreas Scott - Naoya Honda	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Guillaume Dalmasso - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Dillon Beckles - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Naoya Honda - Philip Sekulic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWL?

Alexander Donski - Naoya Honda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide