Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Alexander Erler		Omar Giacalone

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.65	2.15
	1.57	2.15
	1.6	2.24
	1.67	2.05
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.93)	2.18 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Erler
57.4%

Omar Giacalone
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Erler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Erler's performance.

Omar Giacalone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omar Giacalone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Erler than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Erler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Giacalone than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Omar Giacalone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Alexander Erler - Omar Giacalone Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Erler will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Giacalone will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erler: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Erler is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giacalone is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giacalone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Erler
ITF Tournaments
19.12.20	Skander Mansouri - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
18.12.20	Artem Dubrivnyy - Alexander Erler	Dubrivnyy A. retired ✺
17.12.20	Fausto Tabacco - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
16.12.20	Osgar OHoisin - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
09.12.20	Luca Potenza - Alexander Erler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 W?WWL
- Omar Giacalone
ITF Tournaments
19.12.20	Moez Echargui - Omar Giacalone	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	Luca Potenza - Omar Giacalone	0:2 ✺
17.12.20	Jean Thirouin - Omar Giacalone	1:2 ✺
16.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
10.12.20	Omar Giacalone - Artem Dubrivnyy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL

Alexander Erler - Omar Giacalone

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Alexander Erler - Omar Giacalone Predictions

Preview

Form

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