Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Alexander Erler		Tom Kocevar-Desman

	1	2
	1.91	1.82
	1.86	1.78
	1.89	1.85
	1.91	1.8
	1.83	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.44)	1.84 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Erler
49.4%

Tom Kocevar-Desman
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Erler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Erler's form might have worsened.

Tom Kocevar-Desman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Kocevar-Desman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Erler than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Erler, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Kocevar-Desman than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Kocevar-Desman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kocevar-Desman has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erler is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erler could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kocevar-Desman won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Erler
ITF Tournaments
17.02.21	Alexander Erler - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Alexander Erler - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
13.02.21	Alexander Erler - Tom Kocevar-Desman	2:1 ✺
11.02.21	Moez Echargui - Alexander Erler	Echargui M. retired ✺
10.02.21	Jason Janis - Alexander Erler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLW?W
- Tom Kocevar-Desman
ITF Tournaments
17.02.21	Tom Kocevar-Desman - Constant De La Bassetiere	2:0 ✺
13.02.21	Alexander Erler - Tom Kocevar-Desman	2:1 ✺
12.02.21	Tom Kocevar-Desman - Gabriel Petit	2:0 ✺
11.02.21	Tom Kocevar-Desman - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
09.02.21	Laurent Lokoli - Tom Kocevar-Desman	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.02.21	Alexander Erler - Tom Kocevar-Desman	2:1
06.09.19	Tom Kocevar-Desman - Alexander Erler	0:2
20.10.15	Alexander Erler - Tom Kocevar-Desman	2:1

Alexander Erler - Tom Kocevar-Desman: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide