Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 25, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Alexander Frusina		Aziz Ouakaa

	1	2
	2.00	1.70
	1.97	1.74
	2.07	1.78
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.04	1.75
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.07)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Frusina
45.7%

Aziz Ouakaa
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Frusina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Aziz Ouakaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Frusina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Alexander Frusina - Aziz Ouakaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Frusina is ranked ATP: 1423. Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 524.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ouakaa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Ouakaa will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Frusina
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Andrea Paolini - Alexander Frusina	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Ali Habib - Alexander Frusina	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Alexander Frusina - Roger Pascual Ferra	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Alaa Trifi - Alexander Frusina	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Alexander Frusina - Liam Branger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Aziz Ouakaa
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Benjamin Gusic Wan - Aziz Ouakaa	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Billy Blaydes - Aziz Ouakaa	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Jonas Eriksson Ziverts - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Aziz Ouakaa - Andrea Colombo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWLWW

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