Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2 (Portugal), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday


	Alexander Ritschard		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.14	1.63	Watch
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.14	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)	1.64 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
43.3%

Alexis Galarneau
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Alexander Ritschard - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ritschard will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Galarneau will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galarneau: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ritschard is ranked ATP: 118. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 198.

Ritschard is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ritschard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ritschard won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
16.01.25	Alexander Ritschard - Pedro Araujo	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Alexander Ritschard - Patrick Kypson	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Liam Draxl - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Sebastian Fanselow - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
16.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Ignacio Buse - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Alexis Galarneau - Lukas Klein	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.12.24	Christopher Eubanks - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
30.12.24	Alexis Galarneau - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.10.23	Alexis Galarneau - Alexander Ritschard	2:1

Alexander Ritschard - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide