Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 December 2024, Monday


	Alexis Galarneau		Taro Daniel

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.58)	1.63 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
42.8%

Taro Daniel
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Taro Daniel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taro Daniel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taro Daniel than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taro Daniel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Alexis Galarneau - Taro Daniel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Daniel will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 205. Daniel is ranked ATP: 84.

Recent matches Galarneau is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Daniel is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Daniel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Daniel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Daniel to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Taro Daniel - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
29.12.24	Alexis Galarneau - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
28.12.24	Radu Albot - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Alexis Galarneau - Aidan Mayo	1:2 ✺
12.11.24	Alexis Galarneau - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.11.24	Liam Draxl - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Taro Daniel
ATP Challenger
16.11.24	Alexander Blockx - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
13.11.24	Matej Dodig - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
11.11.24	Kaichi Uchida - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Taro Daniel - Jurij Rodionov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWW?

Alexis Galarneau - Taro Daniel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide