Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ROANNE (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Alexander Ritschard		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	2.37	1.53
	2.35	1.53
	2.5	1.5
	2.4	1.53
	2.5	1.54
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.51	Watch
	2.4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.16)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Ritschard
38.5%

Pavel Kotov
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Ritschard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Ritschard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pavel Kotov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alexander Ritschard - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ritschard will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ritschard: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
30.10.22	Alexander Ritschard - Cem Ilkel	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
26.10.22	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
23.10.22	Henri Laaksonen - Alexander Ritschard	Laaksonen H. retired ✺
22.10.22	Alexander Ritschard - Matteo Martineau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLW?W
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Stockholm
16.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Peter Gojowczyk	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
05.10.22	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
04.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
02.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWL

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