Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2	1.73
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.78
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.75
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.07)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
48.6%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Alexander Shevchenko - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 111., and Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 260..

In recent outings, Shevchenko has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hara Friend shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hara Friend may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
13.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Alexander Shevchenko - Jay Dylan Hara Friend: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide