Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jinan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Alexander Shevchenko

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Miomir Kecmanovic
67.6%

Alexander Shevchenko
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Alexander Shevchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 61., and Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 111..

In recent outings, Kecmanovic has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Shevchenko is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Shevchenko could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Kecmanovic for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Shanghai
09.10.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLL?
- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Yoshihito Nishioka	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Dino Prizmic - Alexander Shevchenko	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexander Shevchenko