Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - Final

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Jay Dylan Hara Friend		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.65	2.10
	1.72	2.01
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.7	2.12
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.7	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
53.9%

Alibek Kachmazov
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 260., and Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 525..

Hara Friend is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kachmazov is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kachmazov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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