Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - Final

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuning 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jay Dylan Hara Friend		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.64	2.20
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.66	2.18
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
56.3%

Alibek Kachmazov
43.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jay Dylan Hara Friend's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 260., and Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 525..

Hara Friend is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kachmazov is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kachmazov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Ryan Seggerman	2:0 ✺
07.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
06.10.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
10.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Fajing Sun - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
08.10.26	Evan Zhu - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Charles Broom	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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