Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.37	1.57
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.65
	2.28	1.58
	2.36	1.65
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.96)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
41.5%

Luca Nardi
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Shevchenko's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Shevchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Alexander Shevchenko - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Nardi will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nardi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Astana
02.10.22	Pavel Kotov - Alexander Shevchenko	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Carlos Gomez-Herrera - Alexander Shevchenko	Canceled ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
26.09.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Alexander Shevchenko - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.09.22	Jelle Sels - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?LWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Astana
02.10.22	David Goffin - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Hamad Medjedovic - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
26.09.22	Luca Nardi - Edan Leshem	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Luca Nardi - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Metz
18.09.22	Zsombor Piros - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWL

Alexander Shevchenko - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide