Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport Select, Ziggo Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	David Goffin		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.88
	1.46	2.85
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.41	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	2.73 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
65.4%

Luca Nardi
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for David Goffin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Nardi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	0%	37.9%

David Goffin - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Goffin will win (votes: 18 - 64.3%). Nardi will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Goffin: 46.6% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Goffin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nardi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Goffin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goffin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Goffin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Alexander Zverev - David Goffin	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	David Goffin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	3:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.24	David Goffin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	David Goffin - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
18.05.24	David Goffin - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Luca Nardi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Luca Nardi - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
15.04.24	Luca Nardi - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2
ATP Astana
02.10.22	David Goffin - Luca Nardi	1:2

David Goffin - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide