Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 6, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Alexander Weis		Andrej Martin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.72
	1.98	1.8
	2.02	1.74	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.05	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.24)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
46.3%

Andrej Martin
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Weis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrej Martin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Weis - Andrej Martin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 447. Martin is ranked ATP: 324.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Martin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Martin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Alexander Weis - Mae Malige	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Alexander Weis - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Alexander Weis - Iannis Miletich	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Niccolo Catini - Alexander Weis	Weis A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLL?
- Andrej Martin
ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
05.05.25	Federico Iannaccone - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Andrej Martin - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
17.03.25	Andrej Martin - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLW

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