Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Andrej Martin		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	2.77	1.39
	2.62	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.98)	1.41 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrej Martin
34.2%

Lilian Marmousez
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrej Martin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrej Martin's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrej Martin than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrej Martin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Marmousez (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lilian Marmousez will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lilian Marmousez will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martin is ranked ATP: 393. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 355.

Martin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marmousez is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Marmousez will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrej Martin
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Andrej Martin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrej Martin	Giustino L. retired ✺
25.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Andrej Martin	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Andrej Martin - Alexander Donski	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Andrej Martin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 W?WWW
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Miguel Damas - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Adrian Andreev - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lilian Marmousez - Leo Raquillet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.03.25	Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez	0:2

Andrej Martin - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide