Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday


	Alexander Weis		Federico Iannaccone

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.65	2.13	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
54.4%

Federico Iannaccone
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Federico Iannaccone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 491. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 632.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Iannaccone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Weis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 59% of matches with these odds.

Federico Iannaccone - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Filippo Mazzola - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL
- Federico Iannaccone
ITF Tournaments
26.09.25	Federico Iannaccone - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Federico Iannaccone	Sciahbasi L. retired ✺
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Federico Iannaccone	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Andrea de Marchi - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.07.25	Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone	2:0
ATP Challenger
26.05.24	Alexander Weis - Federico Iannaccone	0:2
ITF Tournaments
20.10.22	Federico Iannaccone - Alexander Weis	1:2

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