Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 8, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday


	Jacopo Bilardo		Alexander Weis

	1	2
	4.24	1.19
	4.04	1.19	Watch
	3.81	1.23	Watch
	2.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (2.81)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Bilardo
25%

Alexander Weis
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Bilardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacopo Bilardo's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Bilardo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jacopo Bilardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bilardo is ranked ATP: 1141. Weis is ranked ATP: 491.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Weis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Weis is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bilardo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Bilardo
ITF Tournaments
24.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Etienne Donnet - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Giovanni Oradini - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Filippo Mazzola - Jacopo Bilardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
18.09.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Alexander Weis	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Filippo Mazzola - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	1:2

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