Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 7, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Gianmarco Ferrari		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.32	1.51	Watch
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianmarco Ferrari
41.1%

Alexander Weis
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gianmarco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gianmarco Ferrari's form might have worsened.

Alexander Weis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Weis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianmarco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gianmarco Ferrari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Weis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gianmarco Ferrari - Alexander Weis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferrari is ranked ATP: 621. Weis is ranked ATP: 493.

Ferrari is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Weis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Weis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Weis will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianmarco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Gabriele Maria Noce	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Josip Simundza	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Facundo Juarez - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Gianmarco Ferrari - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Filippo Mazzola - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Jacopo Bilardo - Alexander Weis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Alexander Weis - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW

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