Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Segrate, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Alexander Weis		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.69	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.51)	1.93 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
52.1%

Samuele Pieri
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Weis's form might have worsened.

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samuele Pieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Weis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samuele Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 559. Pieri is ranked ATP: 850.

Weis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pieri is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Weis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Weis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Weis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuele Pieri - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.66%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Alexander Weis - Josip Simundza	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Alexander Weis - Reda Bennani	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Alexander Weis - Pablo Trochu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.25	Alexander Weis - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLWL
- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Daniel Bagnolini	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Samuele Pieri - William Grant	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Samuele Pieri - Jacopo Bilardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.09.24	Samuele Pieri - Alexander Weis	0:2

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