Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sassuolo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Alexander Weis		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.56	1.28
			Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.95)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Weis
28.1%

Stefano Napolitano
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexander Weis - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Weis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

Weis is ranked ATP: 493. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 604.

Weis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napolitano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Napolitano is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Weis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Marko Topo - Alexander Weis	Topo M. retired ✺
09.06.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Alexander Weis	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Alexander Weis - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Alexander Weis - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Alexander Weis - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?LWLL
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
15.06.25	Stefano Napolitano - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Stefano Napolitano - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Bueno	Napolitano S. retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.25	Stefano Napolitano - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.04.23	Stefano Napolitano - Alexander Weis	Weis A. retired
ITF Tournaments
04.08.22	Alexander Weis - Stefano Napolitano	0:2
04.05.22	Alexander Weis - Stefano Napolitano	2:0

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