Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Alexander Zverev		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.33	3.40	Watch
	1.34	3.20
	1.37	3.10	Watch
	1.38	3.47
	1.38	3.15	Watch
	1.35	3.35
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)	3.3 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
71%

Tommy Paul
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Zverev's performance.

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommy Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Zverev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommy Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Paul (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 23 Games - over (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Paul is ranked ATP: 24.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.94%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	3:1 ✺
10.07.26	Arthur Fery - Alexander Zverev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Tommy Paul - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Learner Tien - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Valentin Royer - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
20.01.25	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	1:3
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.22	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	2:1
ATP Acapulco
26.02.20	Tommy Paul - Alexander Zverev	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	✺
- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	✺

Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul