Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Tommy Paul		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.24	3.90
	1.22	3.9
	1.24	4.28	Watch
	1.26	4.1
	1.28	3.82	Watch
	1.22	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)	3.99 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
76.2%

Luciano Darderi
23.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tommy Paul's performance.

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tommy Paul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Darderi will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 14., and Darderi is ranked ATP: 23..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Darderi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Paul carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Paul has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.18%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
ATP Lyon
24.10.26	Tommy Paul - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
23.10.26	Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
16.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
21.10.26	James Duckworth - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Luciano Darderi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
10.05.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	1:2
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	2:0
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Luciano Darderi - Tommy Paul	0:2

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