Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Learner Tien		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.55	Watch
	2.56	1.6
	2.43	1.56	Watch
	2.06	1.76	Watch
	2.45	1.58	Watch
	2.45	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
39.7%

Tommy Paul
60.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Learner Tien, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Learner Tien - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Paul will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 19. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Paul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Learner Tien - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Marton Fucsovics - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
29.06.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Learner Tien	1:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
26.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - Learner Tien	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLW?
- Tommy Paul
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Valentin Royer - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Soon Woo Kwon - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Alexandre Muller - Tommy Paul	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
21.02.26	Tommy Paul - Learner Tien	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Vienna
26.10.26	Luca Van Assche - Learner Tien	✺
- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	✺

Learner Tien - Tommy Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide