Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Alexandr Binda		Kaichi Uchida

	1	2
	2.43	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.81)	1.5 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
38.1%

Kaichi Uchida
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandr Binda's performance.

Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kaichi Uchida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandr Binda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kaichi Uchida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexandr Binda - Kaichi Uchida Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Binda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uchida will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 477. Uchida is ranked ATP: 235.

Binda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Uchida has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Binda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uchida might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Alexandr Binda - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Zurui Zhang	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Rawat Sidharth	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Alexandr Binda - Hitesh Chauhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLWW
- Kaichi Uchida
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Liam Broady - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Ryo Tabata	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Ryotaro Taguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	August Holmgren - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Alexandr Binda - Kaichi Uchida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide