Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Kaichi Uchida		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.21	1.72
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)	1.69 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaichi Uchida
44.9%

Fajing Sun
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Uchida is ranked ATP: 236. Sun is ranked ATP: 264.

Uchida has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uchida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sun could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Sun will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Kaichi Uchida - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaichi Uchida
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Ryo Tabata	1:2 ✺
17.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Ryotaro Taguchi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	August Holmgren - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.02.26	Raul Brancaccio - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Kaichi Uchida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLW
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Fajing Sun - Chase Ferguson	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Fajing Sun - Aaron Gabet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Blake Ellis - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun	1:2

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