Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Alexandr Binda		Maxence Beauge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	2.03	1.70	Watch
			Watch
	2.01	1.74
	1.63	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.57)	1.83 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandr Binda
49%

Maxence Beauge
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandr Binda's form might have worsened.

Maxence Beauge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxence Beauge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandr Binda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxence Beauge than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maxence Beauge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexandr Binda - Maxence Beauge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beauge (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Binda is ranked ATP: 394. Beauge is ranked ATP: 535.

Binda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Beauge has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Binda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Binda might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandr Binda
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Duck Hee Lee	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Arthur Gea - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW
- Maxence Beauge
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Matt Ponchet - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Adrien Gobat - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Alexandr Binda - Maxence Beauge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide