Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Arthur Gea		Alexandr Binda

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.21	4
	1.23	3.7	Watch
	1.22	4.34
	1.14	5.29	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.33)	4.13 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
77.2%

Alexandr Binda
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Gea's performance.

Alexandr Binda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandr Binda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandr Binda than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Arthur Gea - Alexandr Binda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gea will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 253. Binda is ranked ATP: 382.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Binda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gea is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
03.09.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Jie Cui - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.25	Arthur Gea - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Arthur Gea - Rawat Sidharth	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Arthur Gea - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW
- Alexandr Binda
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Alexandr Binda - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Alexandr Binda - James Watt	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Alexandr Binda - Renta Tokuda	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alexandr Binda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL

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