Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Maxence Beauge		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	2.73	1.44
	4.28	1.20	Watch
			Watch
	2.62	1.45	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (1.84)	1.49 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxence Beauge
34.1%

Milos Karol
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxence Beauge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maxence Beauge's form might have worsened.

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milos Karol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxence Beauge than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maxence Beauge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milos Karol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	0%	8%

Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: Maxence Beauge will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maxence Beauge will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Beauge is ranked ATP: 526. Karol is ranked ATP: 363.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Beauge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxence Beauge - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxence Beauge
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Robert Strombachs - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Maxence Beauge - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Karl Friberg - Maxence Beauge	1:2 ✺
18.09.25	Maxence Beauge - James Story	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWW
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
22.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Florian Broska - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Milos Karol - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Lukas Klein - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Michal Krajci - Milos Karol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW

Maxence Beauge - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide