Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexandre Muller		Albert Ramos-Vinolas

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.34
	1.66	2.34
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.21	Watch
	1.7	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.01)	2.23 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
57.2%

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albert Ramos-Vinolas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albert Ramos-Vinolas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	0%	72.2%

Alexandre Muller - Albert Ramos Vinolas Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Ramos-Vinolas will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ramos-Vinolas: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ramos-Vinolas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.24	Alexandre Muller - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dusan Lajovic - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.24	Alexandre Muller - Soon Woo Kwon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Alexandre Muller - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Challenger
12.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.04.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	0:2 ✺
09.04.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
02.04.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL

Alexandre Muller - Albert Ramos-Vinolas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide