Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: DOHA (QATAR) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	SportKlub
Bulgaria	17:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	16:00	Eurosport 2
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV2
Romania	17:00	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	16:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub


	Alexandre Muller		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.82	Watch
	2.02	1.87
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.92	1.89	Watch
	1.92	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.34)	1.86 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
48.8%

Andy Murray
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andy Murray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andy Murray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Alexandre Muller - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Murray will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Muller is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murray is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Doha
18.02.24	Alexandre Muller - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Zhizhen Zhang - Alexandre Muller	Canceled ✺
ATP Montpellier
31.01.24	Michael Mmoh - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
30.01.24	Antoine Escoffier - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WW?LW
- Andy Murray
ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Tomas Machac - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
29.01.24	Andy Murray - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.24	Andy Murray - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
10.01.24	Andy Murray - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Andy Murray - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
23.02.23	Andy Murray - Alexandre Muller	2:1

Alexandre Muller - Andy Murray