Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Tomas Machac		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.6	2.49
	1.61	2.49
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.61	2.35	Watch
	1.59	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	2.42 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
60.5%

Andy Murray
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	0%	17.4%

Tomas Machac - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (38 of 46 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.66% – 93.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Murray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Machac will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machac won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Miami
22.03.24	Andrey Rublev - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Tomas Machac - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Adrian Mannarino - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Alexander Bublik - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWL
- Andy Murray
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Andy Murray - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Andrey Rublev - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Andy Murray - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Andy Murray - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
06.02.24	Tomas Machac - Andy Murray	2:0

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