Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUCKLAND (NEW ZEALAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday


	Alexandre Muller		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.82
	1.96	1.87
	1.96	1.88
	1.83	1.83
	1.94	1.8	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.18)	1.88 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
49.8%

Denis Shapovalov
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	0%	34.8%

Alexandre Muller - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 45.7% – 84.7%.

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Preview

Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
31.12.23	Brandon Nakashima - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
10.11.23	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Alexandre Muller - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
06.11.23	Alexandre Muller - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Alexandre Muller - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Wimbledon
09.07.23	Roman Safiullin - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
07.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Liam Broady	3:1 ✺
06.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Gregoire Barrere	3:0 ✺
05.07.23	Denis Shapovalov - Radu Albot	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.23	Alexander Zverev - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

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