Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Mallorca, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday


	Alexandre Muller		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.53
			Watch
	2.47	1.6
			Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.1	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.1)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
40.3%

Roman Safiullin
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexandre Muller - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Muller (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roman Safiullin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Safiullin (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 40. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73.

Recent performances by Muller have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Safiullin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Safiullin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Safiullin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Roman Safiullin - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Halle
16.06.25	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLLWW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Halle
14.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Justin Engel	1:2 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roman Safiullin	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Alexander Bublik - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Roman Safiullin - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
30.10.23	Alexandre Muller - Roman Safiullin	0:2
ATP Challenger
31.01.19	Alexandre Muller - Roman Safiullin	0:2

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