Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alexandre Muller		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
57.1%

Fabio Fognini
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alexandre Muller - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Fognini will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Muller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fognini is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muller could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
27.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Timur Maulenov	2:0 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
23.09.23	Sebastian Korda - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
21.09.23	Alexandre Muller - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Challenger
11.10.23	Denis Yevseyev - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.09.23	Filip Misolic - Fabio Fognini	Fognini F. retired ✺
19.09.23	Fabio Fognini - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
10.09.23	Fabio Fognini - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LL?WL

Alexandre Muller - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide