Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino (San Marino), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 August 2024, Friday

Referee: El Jennati M. (Mar)


	Alexandre Muller		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.48	2.46	Watch
	1.54	2.58
	1.53	2.52	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.49	2.53	Watch
	1.48	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.55)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
61.9%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Alexandre Muller - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 99. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 157.

Muller is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
31.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Alexandre Muller - Guido Andreozzi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLW?
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
31.07.24	Marco Cecchinato - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Jerome Kym - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.05.22	Alexandre Muller - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
28.04.21	Alexandre Muller - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2

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