Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), hard - Final

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Kei Nishikori		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.31	3.35	Watch
	1.35	3.46	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.33	3.37	Watch
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.41)	3.39 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
71.9%

Alexandre Muller
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kei Nishikori's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Kei Nishikori will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 106. Muller is ranked ATP: 67.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Nishikori is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.25	Juncheng Shang - Kei Nishikori	Shang J. retired ✺
03.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Karen Khachanov - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
31.12.24	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.24	Kei Nishikori - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 ?WWWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Hong Kong
04.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
03.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	Alexandre Muller - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade 2
04.11.24	Marin Cilic - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWL

Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide