Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	15:05	Max
Croatia	14:05	Max
Czech Republic	14:05	Max
Denmark	14:05	Max
Finland	15:05	Max
France	14:05	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	14:05	Max
Norway	14:05	MAX
Poland	14:05	Max
Romania	15:05	Max
Serbia	14:05	Max
Slovenia	14:05	Max
Sweden	14:05	Max
Usa	08:05	Max


	Alexandre Muller		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.39
	3.14	1.41
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.98	1.4	Watch
	3	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
31.5%

Jakub Mensik
68.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mensik will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Mensik (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexandre Muller will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 3 - 75%). Mensik (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 40. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	Canceled
ATP Vienna
20.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexandre Muller	2:0

Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik