Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Alexandre Muller		Jakub Mensik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.39
	3.14	1.41
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.98	1.4	Watch
	3	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.94)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
31.5%

Jakub Mensik
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Mensik will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Mensik (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexandre Muller will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 3 - 75%). Mensik (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 40. Mensik is ranked ATP: 19.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mensik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mensik is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Muller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWLW
- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jakub Mensik - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Jakub Mensik - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	Canceled
ATP Vienna
20.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexandre Muller	2:0

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