Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)


	Alexei Popyrin		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.18	1.69
	2.23	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.18	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.81)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
43.5%

Hubert Hurkacz
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hubert Hurkacz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubert Hurkacz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	0%	52.6%

Alexei Popyrin - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 62. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 6.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hurkacz to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWLW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Arthur Rinderknech - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Fils	Hurkacz H. retired ✺
02.07.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Radu Albot	3:1 ✺
ATP Halle
23.06.24	Jannik Sinner - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
18.08.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
09.10.21	Alexei Popyrin - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2

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