Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	01:00	Laola1
Czech Republic	01:00	HBO Max
Germany	01:00	Laola1


	Grigor Dimitrov		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.50	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.60
	1.43	2.85
	1.51	2.77
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.49	2.69
	1.54	2.50	Watch
	1.50	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.61)	2.64 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 39.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grigor Dimitrov
63.9%

Alexei Popyrin
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grigor Dimitrov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 128.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dimitrov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP US Open
27.08.26	Otto Virtanen - Grigor Dimitrov	Dimitrov G. win ✺
26.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
28.07.26	Moise Kouame - Grigor Dimitrov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 ?WWL?
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Hugo Gaston	Popyrin A. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Titouan Droguet	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.26	Alexei Popyrin - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Raphael Collignon - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	1:2
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin	Dimitrov G. retired
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
05.02.21	Alexei Popyrin - Grigor Dimitrov	1:2

Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin