Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finalsDate: 31 August 2026, MondayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Austria | Laola1 |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Germany | Laola1 |
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Grigor Dimitrov |
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Alexei Popyrin |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grigor Dimitrov
63.9% | Alexei Popyrin
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grigor Dimitrov that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Grigor Dimitrov - Alexei Popyrin Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dimitrov (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Grigor Dimitrov will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Dimitrov is ranked ATP: 137. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 128.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Dimitrov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dimitrov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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