Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 August 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.43	Watch
	1.33	3.63
	1.31	3.47	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.32	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
72.9%

Alexei Popyrin
27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Alexander Zverev have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Alexei Popyrin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Zverev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexei Popyrin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Popyrin will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Popyrin (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Popyrin (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Popyrin (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 26.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Popyrin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zverev is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
31.07.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Alexander Zverev - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Alexander Zverev	3:2 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WWLL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Yibing Wu - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Arthur Fery	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
31.07.24	Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin	2:0
ATP Acapulco
26.02.19	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Basel
25.10.18	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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