Match Info

Date: 19 September 2022, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Alexei Popyrin		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.96	1.84
	1.84	1.9
	1.98	1.91
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.92	1.88	Watch
	1.87	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	1.89 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
50%

James Duckworth
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James Duckworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	0%	87.3%

Alexei Popyrin - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: James Duckworth will win (69 of 79 users predict this - 87.34%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 94.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Popyrin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
30.08.22	Alexei Popyrin - Chun Hsin Tseng	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
22.08.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.22	Alexei Popyrin - Joao Sousa	Canceled ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.22	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LW??L
- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
13.09.22	James Duckworth - Lukas Rosol	0:2 ✺
11.09.22	Hugo Grenier - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Tomas Machac - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
09.09.22	Borna Gojo - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
07.09.22	Gabriel Debru - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
04.11.21	Alexei Popyrin - James Duckworth	0:2
ATP Tokyo
29.09.19	James Duckworth - Alexei Popyrin	0:2
ATP Challenger
27.09.18	Alexei Popyrin - James Duckworth	1:2

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