Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Tomas Machac		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.21	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.4)	2.23 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Machac
57.7%

James Duckworth
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomas Machac's form might have worsened.

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Duckworth's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Tomas Machac - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Machac will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Duckworth (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Machac is ranked ATP: 35. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 86.

Duckworth's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Machac may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Machac will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Machac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Jiri Lehecka - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Alex De Minaur - Tomas Machac	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	Tomas Machac - Adrian Mannarino	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	Andrey Rublev - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
ATP Metz
03.11.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tomas Machac	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWL?
- James Duckworth
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	James Duckworth - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Terence Atmane - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Tristan Schoolkate - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	James Duckworth - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
27.11.25	James Duckworth - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.09.22	Tomas Machac - James Duckworth	0:2
ATP Melbourne Murray River Open
01.02.21	James Duckworth - Tomas Machac	2:0

Tomas Machac - James Duckworth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide