Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Alexei Popyrin		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.72	2.1
	1.77	2.15
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.06	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 (1.72)	2.08 ↓ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
54.8%

Nuno Borges
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Alexei Popyrin - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Roman Safiullin - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Nuno Borges - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.23	Nuno Borges - Pablo Andujar-Alba	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
02.03.23	Nuno Borges - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Nuno Borges - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.10.17	Alexei Popyrin - Nuno Borges	2:1

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