Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PHOENIX (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday


	Oscar Otte		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.14	1.7
	2.09	1.63
	2.09	1.77
	2.1	1.67
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.18	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.68)	1.68 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oscar Otte
44.3%

Alexei Popyrin
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oscar Otte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oscar Otte's form might have worsened.

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexei Popyrin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oscar Otte than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oscar Otte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexei Popyrin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Otte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Otte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oscar Otte
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.23	Karen Khachanov - Oscar Otte	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Laslo Djere - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.23	Jacopo Berrettini - Oscar Otte	Otte O. retired ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.23	Oscar Otte - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Dallas
09.02.23	Oscar Otte - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LW?LL
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
06.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Bradley Klahn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
27.02.23	Alexei Popyrin - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
15.10.19	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	0:2
ATP Challenger
15.02.18	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	1:2

Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide