The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexey Vatutin 35.8%
Facundo Diaz Acosta 64.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
58.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Facundo Diaz Acosta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Facundo Diaz Acosta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Alexey Vatutin - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vatutin: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Vatutin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Diaz Acosta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Diaz Acosta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Diaz Acosta will have a small advantage in this match.