Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Mark Lajal		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
			Watch
	1.23	3.75	Watch
	1.24	4.12
	1.19	4.22	Watch
			Watch
	1.23	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.35)	3.97 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
76.4%

Alexey Vatutin
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexey Vatutin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexey Vatutin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 146. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 383.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lajal is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lajal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Mark Lajal - Luka Mikrut	Canceled ✺
12.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
ATP Athens
01.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?LW?L
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Alexey Vatutin - Ivan Liutarevich	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Alexey Vatutin - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1
ITF Tournaments
16.06.22	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	1:2

Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide