Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TOULOUSE-BALMA (FRANCE), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 March 2024, Wednesday


	Alexey Vatutin		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	1.36	2.8	Watch
	1.38	2.8
	1.39	2.85
	1.39	2.85
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.65	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.39)	2.77 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
66.6%

Fajing Sun
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fajing Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Preview

Vatutin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sun is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vatutin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
17.03.24	Alexis Gautier - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Alexey Vatutin - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Alexey Vatutin - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Arthur Bouquier - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
13.03.24	Hugo Pierre - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Fajing Sun
ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Alexey Vatutin - Fajing Sun	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Fajing Sun - Lucas Poullain	Sun F. walkover ✺
14.03.24	Fajing Sun - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
13.03.24	Fajing Sun - Louis Larue	2:0 ✺
29.02.24	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 L?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Alexey Vatutin - Fajing Sun	2:0

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