The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alexey Vatutin 40.6%
Li Tu 59.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Li Tu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Li Tu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Tu has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Vatutin is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Tu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.