Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Alexey Vatutin		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.51
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.04)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
37.6%

Marco Cecchinato
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Marco Cecchinato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Cecchinato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Alexey Vatutin - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Cecchinato (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 336. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 293.

Vatutin is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Cecchinato's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cecchinato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cecchinato could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vatutin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.55%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Alexey Vatutin - Pawel Juszczak	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Alexey Vatutin - Aleksander Orlikowski	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Alexey Vatutin - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Jakub Nicod	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Alessio Vasquez Gehrke	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Jerome Kym - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Marco Cecchinato - Alexey Vatutin	0:2
12.09.19	Alexey Vatutin - Marco Cecchinato	0:2
ITF Tournaments
24.03.17	Marco Cecchinato - Alexey Vatutin	2:0

Alexey Vatutin - Marco Cecchinato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide