Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday


	Alexey Vatutin		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.15	1.34
	3.3	1.27
	3.64	1.29
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.54	1.26	Watch
	3.45	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.52)	1.29 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
27.4%

Nuno Borges
72.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Alexey Vatutin - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vatutin will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Borges will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borges is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
18.10.22	Alexey Vatutin - Henri Laaksonen	1:2 ✺
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Pedro Cachin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Carlos Taberner - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Alberto Barroso Campos - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.10.22	Alexey Vatutin - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Nuno Borges - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Jannik Sinner - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
27.09.22	Mirza Basic - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.22	Nuno Borges - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL

Alexey Vatutin - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide