Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 5 (Portugal) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 20 January 2025, Monday


	Alexey Zakharov		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
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	2.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.12)	1.48 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Zakharov
37.2%

Daniel Rincon
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Zakharov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Zakharov's form might have worsened.

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Rincon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Zakharov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alexey Zakharov - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zakharov will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Rincon will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rincon: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zakharov is ranked ATP: 317. Rincon is ranked ATP: 261.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Rincon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rincon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zakharov won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Zakharov
ATP Challenger
07.01.25	Alexey Zakharov - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Alexey Zakharov - Tiago Torres	Torres T. retired ✺
05.01.25	Alexey Zakharov - Tomas Luis	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Elias Ymer - Alexey Zakharov	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Alexey Zakharov - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 L?WLL
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Jeffrey John Wolf - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Duarte Vale - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
10.01.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
09.01.25	Daniel Rincon - Max Hans Rehberg	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Micah Braswell - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Alexey Zakharov	0:2

Alexey Zakharov - Daniel Rincon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide